Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-04 0.002365 0.002501 0.002645 0.002811 0.002998 0.003204 0.003449
2025-05-11 0.002156 0.002339 0.002545 0.002796 0.003099 0.003459 0.003929
2025-05-18 0.002054 0.002275 0.002534 0.002867 0.003293 0.003838 0.004624
2025-05-25 0.001934 0.002174 0.002463 0.002846 0.003362 0.004064 0.005164
2025-06-01 0.001825 0.002073 0.002378 0.002794 0.003375 0.004207 0.005613
2025-06-08 0.001780 0.002045 0.002380 0.002853 0.003542 0.004593 0.006564
2025-06-15 0.001733 0.002011 0.002369 0.002888 0.003677 0.004955 0.007617
2025-06-22 0.001665 0.001945 0.002309 0.002849 0.003690 0.005113 0.008332
2025-06-29 0.001602 0.001880 0.002247 0.002798 0.003678 0.005223 0.008991
2025-07-06 0.001550 0.001827 0.002198 0.002763 0.003685 0.005367 0.009823
2025-07-13 0.001469 0.001733 0.002086 0.002625 0.003509 0.005127 0.009463
2025-07-20 0.001433 0.001698 0.002056 0.002610 0.003538 0.005302 0.010463
2025-07-27 0.001418 0.001693 0.002070 0.002668 0.003707 0.005824 0.013238
2025-08-03 0.001386 0.001663 0.002047 0.002665 0.003768 0.006129 0.015739
2025-08-10 0.001376 0.001663 0.002067 0.002733 0.003972 0.006851 0.022631
2025-08-17 0.001344 0.001631 0.002037 0.002717 0.004008 0.007152 0.028492
2025-08-24 0.001307 0.001589 0.001991 0.002669 0.003977 0.007259 0.033512
2025-08-31 0.001297 0.001586 0.002004 0.002723 0.004162 0.008094 0.067601
2025-09-07 0.001283 0.001576 0.002005 0.002756 0.004308 0.008897 0.288334
2025-09-14 0.001253 0.001543 0.001969 0.002719 0.004293 0.009118 NaN
2025-09-21 0.001223 0.001508 0.001928 0.002673 0.004251 0.009218 NaN
2025-09-28 0.001198 0.001480 0.001897 0.002641 0.004237 0.009440 NaN
2025-10-05 0.001153 0.001421 0.001816 0.002515 0.003991 0.008606 NaN